Core action
Pause Big Bulk Orders
Buyer'sBalancedSeller's
Supplier leverage down 3.0 pts this month.
Executive Summary · Week of 28 Sept 2026
Action: Hold bulk ordersPrice direction
Price Signal Pending
—
Waiting for a live price signal.
What's driving it
Raw Material Costs Rising
+1.3%
Raw materials 90DCost pressure building for tyre makers.
Buyer leverage
Buyer Leverage Growing
4 / 10
Moderate buyer advantageSupplier leverage dropped 3.0 pts over 30 days. Solid negotiating power.
Market intelligence
12-month market movement
Price indices rebased to 100 · leverage on a 0–100 scale
Market driver breakdown
Live metrics and weighted market signals
| Driver | 30D | 90D | 12M | Signal | Weight | 12M curve |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw materials Index 121.4 | −0.3% | +1.3% | +5.9% | Good for sellers | 30% | |
| Manufacturers & events Mildly buyer-friendly news flow | — | — | — | Good for buyers | 10% | Event signal |
Signals & benchmarks
Evidence strength and historical context
Current leverage
−3 vs 30D
71
Signal confidence
40% weighted coverage
17%
12M leverage range
Observed historical cycle
22–82
Price lag benchmark
Insufficient live inputs
Not reliable
Market radar
Latest approved events and market impact
What to do this week
Delay large tyre orders
Leverage is moving to buyers. Order only what you need for the next weeks.
Watch the natural rubber reversal
Natural rubber moved up 1.5% last month after a fall over three months.
Outlook
30D
Toward buyers
90D
Toward sellers
12M
Toward sellers